Catch-MSY results based on the assumption of “medium” resilience suggest that Southern Garfish biomass should theoretically be recovering (Figure 1), with estimates of harvest rate and catch both well below estimates of corresponding sustainable limits (Ftarget = 0.21; MSY = 66.40) (Figure 2, Figure 3). Median estimates of biomass depletion peaked at 13% of unfished levels in 2015/16 (lower 90% CI = 7%) and should have theoretically recovered to 28% of unfished levels in 2019/20 (lower 90% CI = 8%)(Figure 1). However, empirical evidence of recovery is lacking.
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